Outright prices computed live from the tournament Monte Carlo, set against an illustrative market
line carrying a bookmaker margin. Where the model rates a team likelier than its price implies, that's a positive edge.
Everything here is illustrative model output for demonstration — not betting advice.
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Model Favourite
—
—
Top Edge
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106%
Book Margin
illustrative
3
Markets
priced live
48
Runners
full field
Simulations0 / 20,000
#
Team
Model %
Model Price
Market Price
Edge (pp)
Method — Model probability from the live Monte Carlo. Market line = model probability adjusted by an
illustrative hype/fade bias, normalised, plus a 6% overround. Decimal price = 1 ÷ implied probability.
Section 02 — The Edge
Value Board
Sorted by the gap between model probability and market-implied probability for the selected market.
Positive edge = the model rates them likelier than the price suggests; negative = the market is shorter than the model.
Best Value — Model > Market
Shortest / Overpriced — Market > Model
Responsible gambling. This is an illustrative analytics demonstration, not betting advice, tips,
or a prediction. Prices are model-derived for demonstration only. If you choose to gamble, do so responsibly and within your means.