Quantasys — Match Intelligence

Every Match, Quantified

All 72 group matches, each priced by the Poisson goal model — win / draw / win, expected goals and the single most likely scoreline. Filter by group and matchday; then drop any two of the 48 nations into the live predictor below.

Group Matches

+32 knockout

2.71

Avg Goals

model baseline

Venues

3 nations

Jun 11

Opener

Mexico City

+50

Host Elo

MEX·USA·CAN

Group

Matchday

MD	Match	Grp	Win / Draw / Win	xG	Likely

Method — Win/draw/win and most-likely scoreline from the joint Poisson score distribution; expected goals from approximate World-Football-Elo (host nations +50). Illustrative model output on the confirmed draw.

Section 02 — Head to Head

Match Predictor

Pick any two nations. The model converts the strength gap into expected goals, then sums the full Poisson score grid for win, draw and loss probabilities and the single most likely scoreline.

Fixture

—Draw ——

Model Read

Expected goals— · —

Most likely scoreline—

Clean-sheet chance—

Both teams to score—

Method — Expected goals from approximate World-Football-Elo (host nations +50); probabilities from the joint Poisson score distribution. Illustrative, not a prediction.